Pragmatic Semiotic Information • 6
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https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/03/10/pragmatic-semiotic-information-6/
Uncertainty Multiplied —
In our minds' eyes last time we imagined ourselves coming to
a fork in the road and seeing four paths diverge from that point.
Suppose a survey of the scene ahead now shows each path reaching
a point where another decision has to be made, this time a choice
between two alternatives. Figure 4 gives us the picture so far.
Pragmatic Semiotic Information • Figure 4
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https://inquiryintoinquiry.files.wordpress.com/2024/03/pragmatic-semiotic-i…
The Figure illustrates the fact that the compound uncertainty, 8, is
the product of the two component uncertainties, 4∙2. To convert that
to an additive measure, one simply takes the logarithms to a convenient
base, say 2, and thus arrives at the not too astounding fact that the
uncertainty of the first choice is 2 bits, the uncertainty of the next
choice is 1 bit, and the total uncertainty is 2 + 1 = 3 bits.
Regards,
Jon
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